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4 methods for agile and crisis-ready procurement

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Written by Ali Al Deiri and Scott Corboy

Written by Ali Al Deiri and Scott Corboy

Published 03 November 2025

Suggested Reading 4 Minutes

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2025, Risk management, Negotiation

Two professionals, a man and a woman, are engaged in a discussion in an office setting, looking at a glass board covered with colorful sticky notes. The man, on the right and in a casual button-down shirt, is gesturing towards the board as he speaks. The woman, on the left and in professional attire, is looking intently at the board or the man. The sticky notes suggest a brainstorming or project management session.

In an uncertain operating environment, procurement and supply chain professionals must embed agility into their processes to become more resilient. AtkinsRéalis’ Ali Al Deiri MCIPS and Scott Corboy MCIPS offer four solutions.

Wild card events have become mainstream, explained Claudine Fry of global risk consultancy Control Risks during CIPS Risk & Resilience webinar week 2025. Conflict, trade wars and geopolitical turbulence are shattering assumptions about the global and regional stability of supply chains, exposing the risks of lean, just-in-time strategies.

These crises have revealed just how vulnerable traditional supply chains to sudden shocks. Several weaknesses have been exacerbated, among them concentration risk, tier visibility gaps and inflexible sourcing.

In response, organisations have been forced to rethink their procurement operating models. Several options are available to procurement and supply chain professionals to manage their risks and embed agility into their contracts – we outline four below.

1. Subcontracting clauses built for agility

Supply chains face operational, financial, and ethical risks. Embedding strong subcontracting clauses in contracts ensures transparency, control, and adaptability – all of which are critical to resilience and agility.

  • Approval for subcontracting: prevents hidden risks, including unethical labour practices, ensuring compliance and safeguarding reputation
  • Financial safeguards: allows intervention if subcontractors remain unpaid, avoiding work disruptions
  • Right to nominate or approve: enables rapid substitution of subcontractors when capacity or capability issues arise
  • Flow-down of key terms: standardises compliance on IP, anti-slavery, and HSE, reducing legal and operational risks
  • Digital integration: secures data sharing and collaboration, supporting speed and visibility

These measures allow companies to respond quickly to disruptions, maintain ethical standards, and keep projects on track.

2. Managing uncertainty with scenario planning

Uncertainty and change are inevitable factors in large projects, with challenges stemming from regulatory approvals, site access, or myriad external factors. If these risks are not anticipated pre-contract, they result in costly variations and delays post-award. This can occur due to diminished purchasing power where urgent timescales exist.

Scenario planning helps procurement professionals define alternative options and cost implications upfront, shifting negotiations upfront and providing the knowledge to negotiate contractual options.

You can implement scenario planning by:

  • Identifying key risk drivers: analyse the project to identify events which could significantly impact cost or schedule (e.g., permit delays, site readiness).
  • Developing and modelling scenarios: for each risk driver, create multiple scenarios reflecting different outcomes. Model the operational and financial implications of each scenario to identify exposure.
  • Defining contractual responses: translate these scenarios into clear contractual provisions, including pre-agreed cost structures; alternative execution options to mitigate delays; and conditions under which costs apply.
  • Documenting assumptions and responsibilities: ensure all assumptions, triggers, and obligations are documented and acknowledged by both parties, creating transparency and buy-in.
  • Monitoring and updating: during execution, monitor early warning indicators and update scenario models to maintain relevance.

3. Digital procurement tools and automation

Supply chains can’t afford to run on static reports and "gut feel”. Disruptions hit fast and reactive models simply can’t keep up.

That’s where modern ERP systems powered by AI come in. They pull data from across procurement, logistics, and inventory into one live view, while AI works in the background proactively, spotting early warning signs like supplier distress or shipping delays.

It doesn’t stop there: predictive models run “what-if” scenarios and suggest smart moves, which might include rerouting shipments, reallocating stock, or activating backup suppliers. This means procurement teams can act before a problem becomes a crisis. And when demand shifts overnight, AI helps reprioritise orders and onboard new suppliers quickly.

4. Two-tier supply chain ecosystems: a case study

Our client’s programme, focused on rail renewals across the UK, operates in an environment defined by asset complexity, constrained access, safety-critical dependencies, and market volatility for materials and labour. To meet these challenges, our rail client adopted a managed ecosystem approach, supporting agility without compromising control.

The supply base was structured into two distinct tiers:

  • Strategic partners handle the core volume of work, such as track renewals and signalling upgrades. Their multi-year engagement enables long-term planning, consistency, and alignment with industry standards. They invest in repeatable solutions for legacy infrastructure.
  • Tactical providers offer niche skills, quick deployment capability, and surge support for incident response, scope changes or during peak seasonal delivery periods.

This separation enables deep alignment with strategic partners, while maintaining flexibility under changing conditions – material shortages, weather delays, or access issues for instance. Defined decision rights allow our rail client to trigger tactical mobilisation without jeopardising strategic rhythm. Joint planning processes ensure rail-specific constraints are factored in early, and shared visibility tools enable coordination of suppliers and subcontractors during tightly scheduled renewal blocks. Dual-tiered sourcing ensures continuity in adverse circumstances.

This model allows rail renewals to be treated as part of a larger, connected delivery ecosystem, as opposed to isolated events.

Resilience as a strategic advantage

As global volatility becomes the rule, supply chains must evolve from fragile and reactive, to resilient and responsive. By operationalising the lessons from COVID‑19, geopolitical conflicts, and environmental disruptions, companies can build networks that bend without breaking – and thrive through uncertainty.

Through a world-leading portfolio of globally-recognised qualifications, applied learning programmes, experiential routes to MCIPS, targeted training courses, practical guides and tools as well as our Procurement Excellence Programme and consultancy services, CIPS supports individuals, teams and organisations to drive continuous improvement in managing risk and building resilient supply chains.

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